JULY 2020: TORONTO REGION
July’s residential resale market performance was record breaking. Almost 11,100 properties were reported sold, a
28 percent increase compared to the 8,679 properties sold a month earlier. Compared to July 2019, sales improved
by almost 30 percent. There were 8,555 residential properties reported sold last year. July’s numbers are the
clearest indication as to the robustness and resilience of the Toronto marketplace, especially when fueled by
record-low mortgage interest rates.
It is no surprise that average sale prices have also increased, also to record levels. In July the average sale price
for all properties sold in the greater Toronto area came in at $943,710, surpassing June’s record-breaking average
sale price of $931,221. By comparison, last July the average sale price was only $806,971. Notwithstanding the
impact of the Covid-19 pandemic, today’s average sale price is 17 percent higher than only a year ago.
In the City of Toronto, the average sale price is even higher. It came in at $1,017,320. This number is particularly
impressive when it is remembered that it includes 1,689 condominium apartment sales out of a total of 3,577
properties reported sold.
It is also worth noting that the higher-end of the marketplace exploded in July. In July 452 properties having a sale
price of $2 million or more were sold. By comparison, only 185 properties in this category were reported sold last
year, an eye-popping increase of 144 percent. No doubt the resurgence of the equity markets has bolstered the
confidence of purchasers of higher-priced properties.
The entire residential market has not reacted to the pandemic and its impact on the local economy equally.
Condominium apartment sales were negatively impacted during the second quarter of 2020. The quarter saw
the tightest economic restrictions and the resulting economic fallout. During the second quarter (ending June
30th), condominium apartment sales were down by over 50 percent, and new listings over the same period were
down by almost 22 percent. Notwithstanding these very negative numbers, the average sale price increased by
5.1 percent to $619,707.
In July there was evidence that the condominium apartment market was making a recovery from its poor second
quarter performance. In July sales modestly rose by 4.7 percent compared to last year. Sale prices were more
robust, rising by almost 9 percent to $682,999 in the greater Toronto area. In the City of Toronto’s central core, the
average sale price was a stunning $746,204.
The rental market was also negatively impacted by the pandemic in the second quarter. A combination of
restrictions on showing condominium apartment units for rent and job losses across a multitude of economic
sectors dampened demand for rental accommodation. As a result, condominium apartment rentals in the
second quarter were down by 25 percent compared to the second quarter of 2019, where the number of available
condominium apartments increased by 42 percent to 21,703. Not surprisingly, average rents have declined
across the board from bachelor to three-bedroom apartments. Except for bachelor apartments, rents declined,
on average, by 5.5 percent from a year ago. Bachelor apartment rents, understandably, declined by almost 10
percent. Increased choice has allowed tenants to negotiate rents downwards, a reversal of years of constantly
rising rent levels.
Early August results indicate that the resale market will produce strong numbers once again, although not quite
as robust as July. On a year over year basis sales will be approximately 10 percent higher than August of last year.
It cannot be over emphasized that mortgage interest rates of less than 2 percent will continue to drive the Toronto
and area resale market, even in the face of the negative economic impact of the pandemic. Those rates are not
expected to rise for some time, perhaps as late as the end of 2021.
PREPARED BY:
Chris Kapches, LLB, President and CEO, Broker
CHESTNUT PARK REAL ESTATE LIMITED, BROKERAGE | CHESTNUTPARK.COM